It looks like Ben Carson has taken the lead nationally in the Republican presidential campaign, moving Donald Trump out of the top spot for the first time in months, according to a New York Times/CBS News survey released Tuesday.
The poll found that the retired neurosurgeon is in the choice of 26 percent of Republican primary voters whereas Trump is winning the support of 22 percent. However, the percentage difference is within the margin of sampling error.
Nevertheless, it is important to note because this is the first time that Trump has not led all of the candidates since the poll started measuring presidential preferences in July. No other candidates have come close to Carson or Trump lately, New York Times reports.
Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida only received 8 percent and both Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida and former Hewlett-Packard chief exec. Carly Fiorina only received 7 percent of Republican primary voter preference.
Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Gov. John R. Kasich of Ohio, Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas all received the support of 4 percent of the survey participants, the poll stated.
This is just one particular poll in a long nominating process and early polls are not always reliable sources in predicting the eventual winner. The third Republican debate will occur on Wednesday, which could really shake things up, and the Iowa caucus is still three months out.
Though the Iowa caucus is three months away, that doesn’t mean the candidates aren’t taking it seriously and getting in some visitation hours. For instance, Trump is holding his second rally in one week in Sioux City, Iowa (western Iowa) on Tuesday night.
Additionally, he has 13 staffers working in the Hawkeye state alongside a large network of volunteers. His operation is the largest in Iowa; do you expect anything less? The man himself was last seen in Iowa on Wednesday for a rally in Burlington, a city in the eastern part of the state.
However, it seems that his efforts aren’t providing the payout he’s looking for. Since Wednesday, he has lost his lead in the state. Care to take a guess at who is leading?
That’s right, Ben Carson.
On Thursday, a Quinnipac University poll reported that 28 percent of people most likely to participate in the Iowa caucus would vote for Carson and 20 percent would vote for Trump, Washington Post reports. The following day, a Des Moines Register and Bloomberg Politics poll put Carson at 28 percent again and Trump at 19. So Carson is not only beating him nationally, but he is winning in one of the most important states in the election process–for now.
Of course, Trump had something to say about it. “I don’t get it,” Trump said on MSNBC’s Morning Joe Tuesday. “Some of these polls coming out, I don’t quite get it. I was No.1, pretty much, in Iowa from the beginning, and I would say we’re doing very well there. So I’m a little bit surprised. The polls, as you know, in other states are extraordinary, actually. But this one I don’t quite get. I would have thought we were doing much better–I think we are doing much better.”
But Trump does not have any plans to forget Iowa. “I’ll fight right to the end for it,” he said.